Publications

Iraq Euphrates River Valley Activity: December 22, 2015 - March 2, 2016

March 2, 2016 - Patrick Martin

The Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) launched operations to retake Ramadi from ISIS on December 22 and established control of the city on February 9. The ISF will need to target remaining ISIS safe havens in the Euphrates River Valley, including Hit and Fallujah, in order to consolidate these gains.

ISIS's Regional Campaign: February 2016

February 29, 2016 - Harleen Gambhir

ISIS continued to develop its regional presence despite setbacks in Iraq and Syria in February. The organization launched spectacular attacks to weaken security in Iraq and Syria as it faces territorial losses, declining revenue, and decreased foreign fighter inflows in both countries. ISIS meanwhile strengthened its presence in Libya, launching large-scale attacks and defending its stronghold of Sirte despite ground opposition from rival militant groups and airstrikes by the U.S. and other actors.

ISIS's Regional Campaign: February 2016

February 29, 2016 - Harleen Gambhir

 

Iraq Situation Report: February 23 - 29, 2016

February 29, 2016 - Patrick Martin

ISIS conducted a large-scale campaign against civilian and military targets across Iraq between February 25 and February 29. 

Russian Airstrikes in Syria from February 17 - 28, 2016: Pre and Post Cessation of Hostilities

February 29, 2016 - Genevieve Casagrande

Russia has continued its air campaign in support of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, despite the ongoing cessation of hostilities agreement that began on February 27. Russian airstrikes concentrated in opposition-held areas of northwestern Syria on February 28, following a lull in Russian airstrikes on February 27.

Why the Most Dangerous Group in Syria Isn’t ISIS

February 26, 2016 - Jennifer Cafarella

(CNN) Hardly a day goes by without news of the progress being made in the war on ISIS in Iraq and Syria. In recent months, American-backed forces have secured much of the Syrian-Turkish border, recaptured Ramadi, and stemmed the flow of fighters and supplies to the terror group's capital cities of Raqqa and Mosul.

Syria 90-Day Forecast: The Assad Regime and Allies in Northern Syria

February 24, 2016 - Jennifer Cafarella

The expanded interventions of Russia and Iran into the Syrian Civil War have shifted the trajectory of the conflict in favor of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, granting him the strongest position on the battlefield as of February 24, 2016.

Syria 90-Day Forecast: The Assad Regime and Allies in Northern Syria

February 24, 2016 - Chris Kozak

The expanded interventions of Russia and Iran into the Syrian Civil War have shifted the trajectory of the conflict in favor of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, granting him the strongest position on the battlefield as of February 24, 2016.

Syria 90-Day Forecast: The Assad Regime and Allies in Northern Syria

February 24, 2016 - Genevieve Casagrande

The expanded interventions of Russia and Iran into the Syrian Civil War have shifted the trajectory of the conflict in favor of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, granting him the strongest position on the battlefield as of February 24, 2016. Regime forces bolstered by Iranian ground troops and Russian air support have achieved major gains against both the Syrian armed opposition and ISIS in Northern Syria since September 2015, marking a fundamental shift in battlefield momentum following a compounding series of regime losses in the first half of 2015.

Russia Security Update: February 17-24, 2016

February 24, 2016 - Hugo Spaulding

Russia is reshaping the balance of military power in the Middle East and Black Sea region even as it faces potential defense budget cuts. Low oil prices and Western sanctions have caused a prolonged economic crisis in Russia, leading to new proposals for a 5 percent cut in the 2016 military budget. Russia continued efforts to offset the effects of low oil prices and Western sanctions by marketing its military hardware in the Middle East and Asia.

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