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Dec 12, 2025
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 12, 2025
Toplines Ukrainian forces recently liberated territory including part of the city of Kupyansk in a tactical counterattack in the Kupyansk direction. Ukrainian 2nd Khartiya Corps reported on December 12 that Ukrainian forces conducted a successful counterattack to stabilize the situation in the Kupyansk direction and liberated Kindrashivka and Radkivka (both north of Kupyansk) and the ... Read more
Dec 12, 2025
Iran Update, December 12, 2025
Toplines The 2026 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA)’s funding for the Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) significantly decreases the ability for Iranian-backed Iraqi militias to successfully operate in pursuit of Iranian objectives unless the Iraqi government is both extremely pro-Iranian and willing to lose US security funding. The new NDAA requires that the Iraqi government make ... Read more
Dec 12, 2025
China & Taiwan Update, December 12, 2025
Toplines The 2025 US National Security Strategy (NSS) deprioritizes the Indo-Pacific compared to previous NSSs and places economics at the center of the US-PRC relationship. The document, which the United States published on December 4, explicitly identifies the Western Hemisphere as the top priority, with Asia listed second. It focuses significantly less on strategic competition ... Read more
Dec 11, 2025
Iran Update, December 11, 2025
Toplines Correction: CTP-ISW has updated its December 12, 2025, assessment about how Iranian-backed Iraqi militias will respond to the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA). The previous version of this assessment mischaracterized the provisions of the NDAA. CTP-ISW additionally removed a sentence from its December 12, 2025, update that incorrectly suggested that the United States Government ... Read more
Dec 11, 2025
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 11, 2025
Toplines Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov effectively rejected seven points of the US-proposed 28-point peace plan on December 11, including the original plan’s points on territorial swaps based on the line of contact and the provision of reliable security guarantees for Ukraine. Lavrov effectively rejected the following provisions: Lavrov stated that the Russian Constitution recognized ... Read more
