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Dec 22, 2025
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 22, 2025
Toplines False reports are likely shaping Russian President Vladimir Putin’s understanding of the battlefield situation. The Financial Times (FT) reported on December 22 that two unspecified officials stated that Russian military and security authorities regularly give Putin updates that inflate Ukrainian battlefield casualties, highlight Russia’s resource advantages, and downplay tactical failures.[1] FT reported that Russian ... Read more
Dec 22, 2025
Iran Update, December 22, 2025
Toplines Iran is likely prioritizing ballistic missile production due to both organizational inertia within the Iranian defense apparatus and the need to restore deterrence in what it views as an ongoing war with Israel. The reconstitution appears to be an effort to restore deterrence against Israeli attack, though a reconstituted ballistic missile program could be ... Read more
Dec 21, 2025
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 21, 2025
Toplines Russian forces are conducting a new cognitive warfare campaign through limited cross-border attacks across a broad part of the previously dormant northern frontline in Sumy and Kharkiv oblasts. Ukrainian authorities reported on December 20 and 21 that Russian forces entered Hrabovske, Sumy Oblast (a small rural village southeast of Sumy City along the international ... Read more
