Key Takeaways
- Ukrainian experts confirmed that Russia has forcibly removed and deported upwards of 11,000 Ukrainian children to re-education camps so far in 2025, although Russian officials’ own statements suggest the numbers could be even higher.
- Russia concluded another round of staged elections in occupied Crimea as part of its wider campaign to shroud the illegal occupation of Ukraine in the guise of legitimacy.
- A Russian State Duma deputy called for the intensified legislative integration of Ukraine into the Russian sphere of influence.
- Russia continues to funnel investment into infrastructure and development programs in occupied Ukraine in order to maximize the profit of its occupation.
- The Kherson Oblast occupation administration is leveraging Russia’s de facto annexation of Belarus to secure additional funding for development projects.
Deportation and Forcible Transfer of Ukrainian Citizens, Including Children
Ukrainian experts confirmed that Russia has forcibly removed and deported upwards of 11,000 Ukrainian children to re-education camps so far in 2025, although Russian officials’ own statements suggest the numbers could be even higher. Ksenia Kornienko, a lawyer at the Ukrainian Regional Human Rights Center, stated on September 11 that Ukraine has recorded nearly 11,000 cases of Russia’s forced removal or deportation of Ukrainian children to 164 institutions throughout occupied Ukraine and Russia.[1] Kateryna Rashevska, another lawyer at the Regional Human Rights Center, reported that the re-education camps to which Russia is taking Ukrainian children are becoming increasingly militarized. ISW recently reported that Russian officials provided updates on the number of Ukrainian children who attended such re-education camps in the recent summer months.[2] Russian Minister of Education Sergei Kravtsov stated that over 32,000 children from occupied Donetsk Oblast alone attended Russian summer programs — many of which ISW and other organizations assess are explicitly intended to re-educate Ukrainian children.[3] The scale on which these forced removals and deportations are occurring is staggering and continues to be a fundamental part of Russia’s occupation strategy for Ukraine.
Sociocultural Control
Nothing significant to report.
Militarization of Occupied Areas
Nothing significant to report.
Administrative and Bureaucratic Control
Russia concluded another round of staged elections in occupied Crimea as part of its wider campaign to shroud the illegal occupation of Ukraine in the guise of legitimacy. Incumbent Sevastopol occupation governor Mikhail Razvozhaev once again “won” his gubernatorial seat during the Russian September 12-14 regional and local voting period.[4] Russian media claimed that Razvozhaev obtained 81.72 percent of the vote.[5] ISW forecast on September 8 that Razvozhaev was likely to once again win the election, further cementing the supremacy of Russian President Vladimir Putin’s ruling United Russia party in occupied Ukraine.[6] Russia has routinely used instances of legal theater, such as staged elections and manufactured referenda, to create the impression of popular buy-in for the occupation since the 2014 invasion of Ukraine.[7] A Ukrainian partisan group reported on September 15 that despite the Sevastopol occupation administration’s claims that there was wide grassroots participation in the September 12-14 elections, over 52,000 residents did not vote (about nine percent of the total population according to Russian census statistics for 2025), and polling stations stayed empty for most of the three-day voting period.[8] The European Union and Ukraine both condemned the recent Sevastopol elections, referring to them as illegal.[9]
A Russian State Duma Deputy called for the intensified legislative integration of Ukraine into the Russian sphere of influence. Russian State Duma Deputy and member of the Duma Committee on International Affairs Roza Chemeris told Russian state media outlet Ria Novosti on September 13 that Russia must adopt new laws that will “more deeply integrate the economy and social sphere” of occupied Ukrainian territories into the “united Russian space.”[10] Chemeris stated that this is necessary so that occupied Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhia oblasts “feel like an integral part of Russia” and in order to create a “unified, monolithic state.” Chemeris also amplified several long-standing Kremlin narratives claiming that occupied Ukrainian territories are “historically Russian lands.” Chemeris’ statements highlight the fact that Russia’s occupation strategy in Ukraine is premised on the use of various levers, including administrative, economic, legal, and sociocultural, to forcibly integrate Ukraine and its people into the Russian sphere of influence and realize the fiction that Ukraine is intrinsically part of Russia.[11]
Occupation administration Mismanagement and Internal Dynamics
Nothing significant to report.
Physical and Legal Repressions
Nothing significant to report.
Economic and Financial Control
Nothing significant to report.
Information Space Control
Nothing significant to report.
Infrastructure and Development Projects
Russia continues to funnel investment into infrastructure and development programs in occupied Ukraine in order to maximize the profit of its occupation. Kherson Oblast occupation senator Igor Kastyukevich stated in an interview with Kremlin newswire TASS on September 13 that Russia will allocate about 940 billion rubles ($11 billion) to occupied Ukraine under the Russian federal framework “Recovery and socioeconomic development of Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhia oblasts” in 2025-2027.[12] The Russian government approved this framework in December 2023 and has since used it to facilitate construction and development projects in occupied areas that allow Russia to reap economic benefits from its occupation of these areas.[13] Russian Minister of Industry and Trade Anton Alikhanov met on September 15 with Donetsk People’s Republic (DNR) Head Denis Pushilin and reported that Russia intends to invest additional resources in 2026 to develop and restore industrial and technological enterprises in occupied Donetsk Oblast.[14] Pushilin noted during the meeting that his administration also intends to divide the territory of the Azovstal and Azovelektrostal factories in occupied Mariupol and transfer parts of these factories to Russian investors to create a future industrial park.[15] Both Azovstal and Azovelekstrostal were dominant Ukrainian economic assets prior to the full-scale invasion and suffered extensive damage during the Russian siege of the city in 2022.[16] Russia’s focus on revitalizing occupied Mariupol as an industrial hub is reflective of Russia’s desire to profit from Ukraine’s most lucrative industries to supplement its domestic economy, which is struggling due to the costs of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
The Kherson Oblast occupation administration is leveraging Russia’s de facto annexation of Belarus to secure additional funding for development projects. Kherson Oblast occupation head Vladimir Saldo met with Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko in Minsk, Belarus, on September 15.[17] Lukashenko told Saldo that Belarus is ready to contribute in “every possible way” to the development of occupied Kherson Oblast, including in the agricultural sphere.[18] Saldo, in return, suggested that the Kherson Oblast occupation administration can provide Belarus with “part of its coastline” for the development of sanatoriums and tourist infrastructure.[19] The relationship between the occupation administration and Belarus is mutually beneficial to all Russian-linked entities– the Kremlin can use Belarus to offset some of the costs of maintaining its occupation by using Belarus as a proxy for implementing various development projects, Belarus can also reap some benefit off of Russia’s occupation of Ukraine, and the occupation administration cements its authority via its contacts with high-ranking Belarusian and Russian officials.

[1] https://t.me/UkraineMediaCenterKyiv/13011
[2] https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-occupation-update-september-11-2025/
[3] https://tass dot ru/obschestvo/25013455; https://t.me/PushilinDenis/7606
[4] https://www.interfax dot ru/russia/1047307
[5] https://www.interfax dot ru/russia/1047307
[6] https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-occupation-update-september-8-2025/
[7] https://understandingwar.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/24-210-0120ISW20Occupation20playbook.pdf
[8] https://t.me/yellowribbon_ua/12206; http://council.gov dot ru/en/structure/regions/SEV/
[9] https://mfa.gov dot ua/news/zayava-mzs-shchodo-provedennya-rosiyeyu-viboriv-na-timchasovo-okupovanij-teritoriyi-ukrayini ; https://euneighbourseast.eu/news/latest-news/eu-will-not-recognise-russian-held-elections-in-occupied-ukrainian-territories/
[10] https://ria dot ru/20250913/gosduma-2041650311.html
[11] https://understandingwar.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/24-210-0120ISW20Occupation20playbook.pdf
[12] https://tass dot ru/ekonomika/25045273
[13] http://government dot ru/rugovclassifier/908/events/
[14] https://tass dot ru/ekonomika/25061495
[15] https://tass dot ru/ekonomika/25061741
[16] https://ceobs.org/ukraine-damage-map-azovstal-iron-and-steel-works/
[17] https://belta dot by/president/view/lukashenko-belarus-gotova-vsjacheski-sposobstvovat-razvitiju-hersonskoj-oblasti-737343-2025/; https://belta dot by/society/view/hersonskaja-oblast-mozhet-predostavit-belarusi-chast-poberezhjja-dlja-stroitelstva-sanatoriev-737385-2025/
[18] https://belta dot by/president/view/lukashenko-belarus-gotova-vsjacheski-sposobstvovat-razvitiju-hersonskoj-oblasti-737343-2025/; https://tass dot ru/politika/25059375
[19] https://belta dot by/society/view/hersonskaja-oblast-mozhet-predostavit-belarusi-chast-poberezhjja-dlja-stroitelstva-sanatoriev-737385-2025/