Publications

Syria Situation Report: February 16 - 24, 2017

February 24, 2017 - Chris Kozak

Opposition groups backed by Turkey in Operation Euphrates Shield seized full control over Al-Bab in Northern Aleppo Province as well as two neighboring towns, ending more than three months of heavy clashes. Meanwhile, UN Special Envoy to Syria Staffan de Mistura opened the Geneva IV Talks with the goal of reaching a political solution to the Syrian Civil War.

Warning Update: The Expansion of ISIS in Northwestern Afghanistan

February 22, 2017 - Caitlin Forrest

ISIS Wilayat Khorasan may be developing a regional powerbase in northwestern Afghanistan. Former Taliban militants operating in the name of ISIS executed international aid workers and held others captive in a prison in Jowzjan Province in February 2017, a step change in ISIS’s operations in Afghanistan.

The Campaign for Mosul: February 1-21, 2017

February 21, 2017 - Emily Anagnostos

The Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) launched operations to retake western Mosul on February 19. The ISF has not yet begun operations inside western Mosul city, focusing instead on isolating ISIS in Mosul by cutting off exits routes west of the city and setting conditions to breach the city limits through the southern airport.

Iraq Situation Report: February 11-16, 2017

February 16, 2017 - Emily Anagnostos

Baghdad witnessed serious breaches of security from February 11 to 16 due to both escalating protest movements and ISIS attacks.

Syria Situation Report: February 2 - 16, 2017

February 16, 2017 - Chris Kozak

Turkish President Recep Erdogan reiterated that the “ultimate goal” of Turkey in Operation Euphrates Shield is the establishment of a five-thousand square kilometer ‘safe zone’ that includes Al-Bab, Manbij, and Ar-Raqqa City in Northern Syria. Meanwhile, preparations continued for the next round of Geneva Talks on the Syrian Civil War scheduled to begin on February 23.

Warning Update: Turkish Aggression Against Syrian Kurds Threatens to Halt U.S. Anti-ISIS Operations in Syria

February 13, 2017 - Institute for the Study of War

The U.S.-led coalition’s fight against ISIS in Syria is in jeopardy as Turkey threatens an offensive against the U.S.’s primary partner force on the ground, the Syrian Democratic Forces. Turkey has stated its intent to shift its focus from ISIS to the Syrian Kurds after the seizure of the ISIS-held town of al Bab in Northern Aleppo Province, which ISW forecasts is likely in the coming weeks.

Iranian Proxies Fire Rockets at Green Zone in Baghdad, Saturday, February 11, 2017

February 11, 2017 - Patrick Martin

Unidentified gunmen, likely Iranian proxies, fired rockets at the Green Zone during a large Sadrist demonstration in Tahrir Square in eastern Baghdad on February 11, 2017.

Iraq Situation Report: February 2-10, 2017

February 10, 2017 - Emily Anagnostos

Security conditions have decreased in Mosul and Salah al-Din and in the southern provinces due to revived militant attacks and election-related violence, respectively, from February 2 to 10.

Russian Airstrikes in Syria: January 12 - February 7, 2017

February 10, 2017 - ISW Press

Russia resumed its aggressive air campaign in northern Syria in a renewed attempt to defeat the acceptable opposition and coerce the integration of its remaining fighters into Salafi-jihadi groups, demonstrating its unfitness to serve as a U.S. counter-terrorism partner.

Warning Update: Iraq’s Sunni Insurgency Begins as ISIS Loses Ground in Mosul

February 7, 2017 - Emily Anagnostos

Early indicators suggest that a post-ISIS Sunni insurgency may be forming in Iraq and al Qaeda (AQ) is trying to gain traction within it.

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