Iraq Situation report: February 18 - 22, 2016
February 22, 2016 - Patrick Martin![](https://understandingwar.org/sites/default/files/styles/thumb-wide/public/Iraq%20SITREP%202016-02-22%20high_1.png?itok=Kf9VUI5B)
Prime Minister Haidar al-Abadi made his boldest move against Iranian proxy militias yet.
Prime Minister Haidar al-Abadi made his boldest move against Iranian proxy militias yet.
Key Takeaway: ISIS is executing a sophisticated, multi-front campaign against Libya’s oil facilities, demonstrating the organization’s growing capability abroad. President Obama reportedly ruled out significant military intervention against the group as of February 18. The administration opted to continue intermittent strikes against ISIS leaders in Libya instead, such as the strike on an ISIS leader in western Libya on February 19.
ISIS is executing a sophisticated, multi-front campaign against Libya’s oil facilities, demonstrating the organization’s growing capability abroad. President Obama reportedly ruled out significant military intervention against the group as of February 18.
Prime Minister Abadi is facing grave political challenges following his announcement of a cabinet reshuffle on February 9.
Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered a snap readiness inspection of forces in southwestern Russia and the Crimean Peninsula beginning February 8 including air, naval, and air defense assets as well as up to 8,500 troops. The drills may have been a show of force in response to revelations of Western plans to deploy troops in Eastern Europe and the Baltics. NATO members agreed to increase the alliance’s forward presence along its eastern flank, reportedly with up to 6,000 troops, days after the U.S.
The United States faces a geostrategic inflection in Syria that it has not yet fully recognized. The “cessation of hostilities” declared on February 11, 2016 permits Russia and the Assad regime to continue targeting U.S. allies in Aleppo under the pretext that the opposition in the city consists predominantly of al Qaeda affiliate Jabhat al Nusra.