Publications

Wilayat Sinai Likely Preparing for Car Bomb Campaign

March 12, 2015

Key Take-away: The threat of large-scale attacks in North Sinai by ISIS’s Wilayat Sinai is elevated as of March 12, 2015, but this threat is not assessed to directly target the upcoming Egypt Economic Development Conference in Sharm al-Sheikh scheduled for March 13-15, 2015 due to heightened security in South Sinai. Wilayat Sinai may, however, conduct attacks elsewhere during the conference in order to portray instability and derail economic and political opportunities for the government of Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi.

Iraq Situation Report: March 10-11, 2015

March 11, 2015 - Sinan Adnan

The operation to retake Tikrit city appears to have begun.

Syria Situation Report: March 2-10, 2015

March 10, 2015 - Jennifer Cafarella

JN Designates Main Effort in Dera’a Despite Airstrike Targeting JN Leadership in Idlib: JN appears to have designated a main effort by deploying a significant convoy of military reinforcements

Iraq Situation Report: March 9, 2015

March 9, 2015 - Institute for the Study of War

Very recent reports indicate that Alam, an area of Iraqi Sunni majority that showed early signs of resistance to ISIS, has been re-taken by the combined forces allied with the Iraqi government.

Iraq Situation Report: March 7-8, 2015

March 8, 2015 - Institute for the Study of War

The battle for Tikrit city is likely nearing. Combined forces from the ISF, Iraqi Shi'a militias, and Iraqi Sunni tribal fighters from Salah ad-Din Province have been making gains on the eastern front where the majority of military operations have taken place so far.

Control of Terrain in Iraq: March 8, 2015

March 8, 2015 - Institute for the Study of War

Since the start of the operation to capture Tikrit and its environs, the ISF, Iraqi Shi'a militias, and Iraqi Sunni tribal fighters from Salah ad-Din have been advancing from two main axes: south, from Samarra, and east, from the direction of Diyala and Kirkuk.

Iraq Situation Report: March 5-6, 2015

March 6, 2015 - Institute for the Study of War

The operation to retake Tikrit continued today, although Tikrit city itself does not appear to be the immediate priority for the combined forces. Since the start of the ground operation on March 2, the the eastern and southern axes have been the primary focus.

Syrian Jihadists Signal Intent for Lebanon

March 6, 2015 - Jennifer Cafarella

Both the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham (ISIS) and the al-Qaeda affiliate Jabhat al-Nusra (JN) plan to conduct attacks in Lebanon in the near term.

Ukraine Crisis Update: March 5, 2015

March 5, 2015 - Hugo Spaulding

Indirect fire exchanges have persisted across the front line as reports show Ukraine continuing to withdraw heavy weapons and unverified separatist claims assert their own complete withdrawal.

Tikrit Situation Report: March 4, 2015

March 4, 2015 - Institute for the Study of War

The operation to re-capture Tikrit, prosecuted by the ISF, Shi’a militias, and Sunni tribal forces, has begun with main efforts targeting two areas east of the city, Alam and Dour.

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