Papers and Special Reports (since 2024)

This page collects our papers and special reports since 2024. It is arranged in reverse chronological order.

• Russian Efforts to Centralize Drone Units May Degrade Russian Drone Operations (December 12, 2024)
  

• Likely Kremlin-Backed Election Interference Against Romania Threatens Bucharest's Continued Support for Ukraine and NATO (December 6, 2024)

• The Ukrainian Defense of Pokrovsk Has Compelled Russia to Change Its Approach in Eastern Ukraine (November 17, 2024)
  

• North Korea Joins Russia's War Against Ukraine: Operational and Strategic Implications in Ukraine and Northeast Asia (November 1, 2024)

• A Defense of Taiwan with Ukrainian Characteristics: Lessons from the War in Ukraine for the Western Pacific (October 30, 2024)

• Possible Russian Gains in Georgia and Moldova (October, 27, 2024)

• Pro-Russia Georgian Dream Party Likely Wins Parliamentary Elections (October 26, 2024)

• Russia or the West: The Stakes in Georgia’s Election (October 21, 2024)

• Russia Poses Long-Term Threats to Moldova’s European Integration Beyond the October Elections (October 15, 2024)

• Israel is Defeating Hamas, But Destroying Hamas Will Require a Post-War Vision (September 19, 2024)

• Interactive Map: Hundreds of Known Russian Military Objects Are in Range of ATACMS (August 27, 2024)

• Exploring a PRC Short-of-War Coercion Campaign to Seize Taiwan’s Kinmen Islands and Possible Responses (August 21, 2024)

• Assessing the Significance of the Current Russian and Ukrainian Operations for the Course of the War (August 17, 2024)

• Putin Is Vulnerable: Western Policy Masks Russian Weakness (August 14, 2024)

• Ukraine and the Problem of Restoring Maneuver in Contemporary War (August 12, 2024)

• How Delays in Western Aid Gave Russia the Initiative: From the Ukrainian Counteroffensive to Kharkiv (May 22, 2024)

• Putin’s Safe Space: Defeating Russia’s Kharkiv Operation Requires Eliminating Russia’s Sanctuary (May 13, 2024)

• Positional Warfare in Alexander Svechin’s "Strategy" (April 30, 2024)

• Why You Can’t Be an Iran Hawk and a Russia Dove (April 18, 2024)

• America’s Stark Choice in Ukraine and the Cost of Letting Russia Win (April 16, 2024)

• Russian Strikes More Effective as Ukraine Exhausts Defenses (April 12, 2024)

• The Russian Orthodox Church Declares "Holy War" Against Ukraine and Articulates Tenets of Russia's Emerging Official Nationalist Ideology (March 30, 2024)

• Taliban Governance in Afghanistan (March 29, 2024)

• Denying Russia’s Only Strategy for Success (March 27, 2024)

• The Leadership and Purpose of Iraq’s Popular Mobilization Forces (March 19, 2024)

• WARNING: Transnistria May Organize a Referendum on Annexation to Russia to Support Russian Hybrid Operation Against Moldova (February 22, 2024)

• The Russian Winter-Spring 2024 Offensive Operation on the Kharkiv-Luhansk Axis (February 21, 2024)

• The Kremlin's Occupation Playbook: Coerced Russification and Ethnic Cleansing in Occupied Ukraine (February 9, 2024)

• Ukraine’s Long-Term Path to Success: Jumpstarting a Self-Sufficient Defense Industrial Base with US and EU Support (January 14, 2024)