Publications

Forecasting the Syrian Civil War

September 17, 2015 - Institute for the Study of War

The trajectory of the Syrian Civil War may fundamentally shift within the 90 day timeframe. Russia escalated its military assistance on behalf of the Syrian regime in early September 2015, deploying armored vehicles and hundreds of personnel to the Syrian Coast in preparation for the establishment of at least one forward air operations base.

ISW President Kimberly Kagan Testimony to the Senate Foreign Relations Committee

September 17, 2015 -

ISW President Dr. Kimberly Kagan testified to the Senate Foreign Relations Committee yesterday September 16, 2015. The committee discussed the United States role in the Middle East focusing on Iraq, Syria, and the fight against ISIS.

Russian Deployment in Syria: Putin’s Middle East Game Changer

September 17, 2015 - Institute for the Study of War

Satellite imagery provided by AllSourceAnalysis confirms the recent arrival of Russian main battle tanks, armored personnel carriers, helicopters, and other military equipment at an airbase in Syria’s coastal Latakia province, indicating that Russia has deployed troops inside Syria. Concurrent military exercises inside Russia suggest that Russia may intend to deploy additional forces, possibly further inside Syria.

Syria 90-Day Forecast: ISIS

September 15, 2015 - Jennifer Cafarella

ISIS Grand Strategic Objectives include: rule all Muslims under an Islamic Caliphate; and provoke and win an apocalyptic war with the West.

Syria 90-Day Forecast: ISIS

September 15, 2015 - Chris Kozak

ISIS Grand Strategic Objectives include: rule all Muslims under an Islamic Caliphate; and provoke and win an apocalyptic war with the West.

Syria 90-Day Forecast: ISIS

September 15, 2015 - Genevieve Casagrande

ISIS Grand Strategic Objectives include: rule all Muslims under an Islamic Caliphate; and provoke and win an apocalyptic war with the West.

ISIS Sanctuary Map: September 15, 2015

September 15, 2015 - Institute for the Study of War

ISW’s updated ISIS sanctuary map includes a new attack zone in Deraa, southwestern Syria and an expanded sanctuary zone in Idlib, northwestern Syria. ISIS claimed an attack against the Syrian al-Qaeda affiliate Jabhat al-Nusra (JN) in Deraa on August 18, and also may be responsible for an ongoing assassination campaign against JN in Idlib.

ISIS Sanctuary Map: September 15, 2015

September 15, 2015 - Institute for the Study of War

ISW’s updated ISIS sanctuary map includes a new attack zone in Deraa, southwestern Syria and an expanded sanctuary zone in Idlib, northwestern Syria. ISIS claimed an attack against the Syrian al-Qaeda affiliate Jabhat al-Nusra (JN) in Deraa on August 18, and also may be responsible for an ongoing assassination campaign against JN in Idlib.

Iraq Situation Report: September 11 - 14, 2015

September 14, 2015 - Sinan Adnan

Popular demonstrations continued across southern Iraq while Iranian proxy groups escalated against the Iraqi government by denouncing protests and releasing an anonymous video of the Turkish hostages kidnapped in Baghdad, demanding adjustments to Turkey’s policies in the region.

Military Situation on the Syrian-Turkish Border: September 14, 2015

September 14, 2015 - Institute for the Study of War

This map represents the military situation at the Syrian-Turkish border as of Sept. 11, 2015. Particular attention is paid to border crossings, many of which are now closed or highly restricted and under the control of a variety of groups including the Syrian regime, ISIS, Kurds, the Al-Qaeda affiliate Jabhat al-Nusra, and Syrian rebels.

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