Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 4, 2024
October 4, 2024 - ISW Press
Ukrainian forces struck a fuel storage facility in Anna, Voronezh Oblast on the night of October 3 to 4.
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Publications
Iran Update, October 3, 2024
October 3, 2024 - ISW Press
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) continued advancing into southern Lebanon on October 3. Geolocated imagery indicates Israeli troop movements around the western axis of advance, specifically around Aitaroun and Yaroun.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 3, 2024
October 3, 2024 - ISW Press
The Russian offensive effort in eastern Ukraine that began in fall 2023 continues to produce gradual Russian tactical gains in specific sectors of the front, but operationally significant gains will likely continue to elude Russian forces. (ISW distinguishes between tactical gains, which are relevant at the tactical level of war in the near vicinity of the fighting, and operational gains, which are significant at the operational level of war and affect large sectors of the entire frontline.)
Africa File, October 3, 2024: Khartoum Offensive; Internal Somali Rivalries; Benin Coup Attempt; Russia’s Projects in the Sahel
October 3, 2024 - ISW Press
The SAF launched an offensive to relieve several besieged units in Khartoum. Iranian or Turkish drones likely helped set conditions for the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) offensive. The end of the rainy season in Sudan will likely increase fighting across the country in the coming months, which will compound the humanitarian crisis and continue to stall peace talks.
Iran Update, October 2, 2024
October 2, 2024 - ISW Press
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) has advanced into southern Lebanon along at least two axes.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 2, 2024
October 2, 2024 - ISW Press
Ukraine continues efforts to expand domestic production of significant military equipment and maintain its drone advantage over Russia.
Iran Update, October 1, 2024
October 1, 2024 - ISW Press
Iran launched a two-wave ballistic missile attack that targeted Israel from Iranian territory on October 1. Iran claimed to launch this attack in response to Israel’s killing of senior Axis of Resistance leaders including Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah in Beirut, and Hamas Political Bureau Chairman Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran. Iran launched approximately 180 ballistic missiles, including Emad and Ghadr ballistic missiles, from Iranian territory. Iran claimed to launch its domestically produced hypersonic medium-range “Fattah-2” ballistic missile for the first time in the October 1 attack.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 1, 2024
October 1, 2024 - ISW Press
Russian forces likely seized Vuhledar as of October 1 following a reported Ukrainian withdrawal from the settlement, though it is unclear if Russian forces will make rapid gains beyond Vuhledar in the immediate future. Geolocated footage published on September 30 and October 1 shows Russian forces planting Russian flags and freely operating in various parts of Vuhledar, and Russian milbloggers claimed on October 1 that Russian forces seized the settlement.
Ukraine Conflict Updates June 1 to September 30, 2024
October 1, 2024 - ISW PressRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 30, 2024
Click here to read the full report.
Christina Harward, Kateryna Stepanenko, Karolina Hird, George Barros, and Frederick W. Kagan
September 30, 2024, 4:30pm ET
Iran Update, September 30, 2024
September 30, 2024 - ISW Press
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) announced that it began a "targeted and delimited ground operation in southern Lebanon" on September 30. The IDF said that ground forces will operate to target Hezbollah fighters and infrastructure in villages along the Israel-Lebanon border.